From Destination to Departure: America’s New Migration Story 

1. The Post Pandemic American Emigrant

For the better part of two centuries, the story of American migration ran mainly in a single direction: inward. The United States was the gravitational center of global human movement, the place people came to, not the place people left. That narrative is shifting. A convergence of political polarization, economic anxiety, tax policy, and a post-pandemic rethinking of what it means to belong to a place has produced something historically remarkable: a growing outward flow of American citizens actively seeking second citizenships, foreign residencies, a Plan B in case circumstances require a quick transition. 

The numbers are striking. A three-wave Harris Poll survey of 6,358 U.S. adults conducted between August 2024 and February 2025 found that 42 percent of Americans have considered or plan to relocate abroad. Among Gen Z respondents, that figure climbed to 63 percent; among Millennials, 52 percent. Two-thirds of Gen Z and Millennials expressed interest in acquiring dual citizenship (Harris Poll, 2026). These are not fringe sentiments. They represent a structural shift in how a significant portion of the American population relates to its own nationality. 

In 2025, more people left the U.S. than arrived – an estimated net outward migration of around 150,000 people, the first time in over fifty years. As per Edelberg, Veuger, and Watson’s (2026) analysis for the Brookings Institution, this conclusion draws on data collected throughout 2024 and 2025, combined with expert judgment. The authors expect this trend to continue into 2026, though they caution that their estimates carry added uncertainty due to a lack of transparency in recently available data. 

This change is not just a perception, as it also shows up in passport power metrics. The Global Passport Index (GPI) 2025, developed by Global Citizen Solutions, goes beyond traditional visa-free access counts to assess the overall strength and value of a nationality through three weighted pillars: Enhanced Mobility (50%), Investment Potential (25%), and Quality of Life (25%). The numbers reveal a stark decline in American passport dominance. In the inaugural 2021 ranking, the U.S. held the top global position across all three dimensions. By 2025, it had fallen to 14th place – a thirteen-position drop in just four years.

This article examines the American diaspora phenomenon through empirical data now documenting an acceleration that shows no signs of plateauing. It draws on academic scholarship, government statistics, industry data, and Global Citizen Solutions’ own analytical framework to argue that what we are witnessing is not a passing reaction to a single election or economic cycle, but a durable transformation in how Americans perceive of their relationship to the state. 

2. A Statistical Portrait of the American Diaspora

USA flag

2.1 A Theoretical Reframing 

The acquisition of second citizenships and residencies by U.S. nationals marks a structural departure from the directional logic that has organized global migration for over a century. Drawing professor Peter J. Spiro’s legal history of dual nationality, Harpaz’s framework of compensatory citizenship, and Global Citizen Solutions’ multidimensional Passport Index, which records a thirteen-position fall of the U.S. passport between 2021 and 2025 – three converging shifts emerge. Legally, a half-century of constitutional jurisprudence has rendered dual nationality a protected right. Sociologically, Harpaz’s framework, originally devised to explain why citizens of weaker-passport states acquire stronger ones, now applies with uncomfortable precision to Americans themselves. Empirically, the measurable erosion of U.S. passport value across mobility, investment, and quality-of-life dimensions supplies the structural rationale. 

2.2 How Many Americans Live Abroad? 

One of the most striking features of American emigration is how poorly the country tracks it. The U.S. State Department has acknowledged that, due to the challenges of determining how many citizens are in a given place at a given time, it does not publish granular data on Americans residing overseas (CA/OCS communication to AARO, July 11, 2024).

Unlike most developed nations, the United States does not require its citizens to register a place of residence abroad, and it has not maintained a systematic program for tracking permanent departures since the late 1950s. As a result, even the State Department acknowledges it does not have a precise count of how many Americans live overseas.

What remains is a patchwork of estimates. “The Association of Americans Resident Overseas (AARO) estimates 5.5 million Americans live abroad as of October 2024, an increase from 5.4 million the previous year. The Federal Voting Assistance Program (FVAP) placed the figure at 4.4 million in 2022, with 2.8 million eligible to vote. World Population Review offers a higher estimate of over 8 million in 2024, though its methodology is not disclosed. The U.S. State Department estimates that approximately 1.6 million Americans live in Mexico alone (U.S. Department of State’s bilateral relations fact sheet for Mexico), the largest single-country concentration of American expatriates anywhere in the world. 

What is clear from all sources is that the trend line is upward. In 2025, an estimated 2.2 million people left the United States, with 180,000 being U.S. citizens (Pew Research Center, 2025). These figures, while imprecise, establish a baseline reality: the American population abroad is large, growing, and systematically undercounted. 

2.3 Renunciation: The Most Documented Indicator 

While emigration data is murky, renunciation statistics are precise. the U.S. Treasury Department publishes quarterly lists of individuals who have formally relinquished their citizenship. These numbers tell a dramatic story of acceleration. 

Before 2009, renunciations averaged 200 to 400 per year, an almost negligible number. In 2009, following the UBS tax scandal and initial discussions of what would become the Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA), the number jumped to 731. By 2010, it surpassed 1,000; by 2013, it reached approximately 3,000. Between 2014 and 2016 (coinciding with FATCA’s full implementation and a quintupling of the renunciation fee to $2,350) renunciations averaged roughly 4,800 per year, a tenfold increase from 2005 levels. 

The pandemic year of 2020 produced a record 6,705 renunciations. After a brief dip, the numbers surged again: 2024 saw 4,820 renunciations, a 48 percent increase over 2023 and the third-highest annual total ever recorded. The third quarter of 2024 alone saw 2,123 renunciations — the highest quarterly count since late 2016. In the first quarter of 2025, 1,285 Americans expatriated, representing a 102.4 percent jump compared to the fourth quarter of 2024. 

Under conservative assumptions, 2025 could see total renunciations approach 6,000, which would make it the highest annual total since 2020. And the pipeline is enormous: immigration analysts estimate the global queue for renunciation appointments now exceeds 30,000 people. 

A significant development arrived on April 13, 2026, when the renunciation fee dropped from $2,350 to $450, restored to pre-2015 levels after sustained legal pressure (U.S. Department of State, Final Rule, Federal Register, March 13, 2026, FR Doc. 2026-04931). This reduction is widely expected to accelerate the trend further, removing a financial barrier that had been deliberately erected to deter renunciations. 

That said, this should not be treated as the definitive measure of how many Americans are actually leaving the US tax net. The list only captures those who complete the full formal renunciation process, and many individuals depart without ever reporting or finalising the paperwork. Just as importantly, a growing number of Americans are building a “Plan B” and securing a second citizenship or residency through investment migration programs, for instance, without relinquishing their US status, meaning they remain invisible to these statistics entirely. The Federal Register figures should therefore be read as a useful directional indicator of the trend, not as a complete count of Americans diversifying their fiscal or jurisdictional footprint.

Taken together, the evolution of U.S. citizenship renunciation over the past two decades reveals a phenomenon that has matured from a statistical anomaly into a persistent structural feature of American emigration. One shaped not by any single driver but by the convergence of political polarization, economic anxiety, declining quality-of-life metrics, a global mobility landscape that increasingly rewards strategic diversification, and, for expatriates in particular, the unique burden of extraterritorial taxation and compliance obligations that play a compounding role in the calculus. The numbers, imperfect as they are, trace an unmistakable arc: from a negligible baseline of two to four hundred per year before 2009, through the surge that brought annual figures to nearly five thousand by the mid-2010s, to the pandemic-era record and the post-2024 acceleration that now sees appointment queues exceeding 30,000 worldwide and a fee structure finally restored to accessible levels.  

Yet renunciation, for all its symbolic gravity, remains the narrowest aperture through which to view this movement. It captures only those who have reached the point of no return. For every name on that list, there are many more who have acquired a second citizenship or residency without any intention of surrendering their American passport, because, crucially, they do not have to.  

At the end of the day, the American diaspora is not a crisis of loyalty but an evolution of strategy: one in which citizenship, once the most stable and unquestioned marker of identity, has become a relevant tool in an increasingly complex global calculus.

2.4 Dual Citizenship: Already More Common Than Most Realize 

Nowadays, 7 to 10 million Americans already hold dual citizenship, representing roughly 2 to 3 percent of the population (Spiro, CNN, January 2026). A December 2025 YouGov poll found that 7 percent of respondents identified as also having “a citizenship from another country”, which if extrapolated nationally would imply approximately 25 million dual-nationality Americans, likely inflated by self-reporting methodology, but indicative of widespread prevalence. 

The potential pool of eligible candidates is considerably larger. Industry estimates based on U.S. Census heritage data indicate that up to 30 million Americans may qualify for ancestry-based European passports, primarily through Italy, Ireland, Poland, Germany, and Hungary. This figure should be read with caution, as it predates Italy’s 28 March 2025 reform of its nationality law, which substantially narrowed eligibility for descendants and has likely reduced the overall pool.

The YouGov poll also found that only 21 percent of Americans said dual citizenship is “bad for the U.S.”, a minority position that has not prevented legislative attempts to restrict it. In fact, the proposed Exclusive Citizenship Act of 2025, introduced by Senator Bernie Moreno, would require Americans to relinquish additional citizenships within one year. Legal scholars have widely characterized the bill as likely unconstitutional under Vance v. Terrazas, and it is not expected to advance. Paradoxically, the proposal appears to be accelerating applications for second citizenship rather than deterring them, as Americans rush to secure options before any potential policy shift. 

2.5 Survey Data: The Intent Gap 

One of the most analytically revealing dimensions of the American diaspora movement is the gap between expressed intent and actual action, and the way that gap has been narrowing over successive survey cycles. When read chronologically, the major surveys conducted between 2014 and 2025 reveal not a sudden rupture triggered by any single political event but a steady, compounding escalation in which each electoral cycle ratchets the baseline higher, each period of economic stress adds a new demographic cohort to the conversation, and each wave of media attention normalizes what was once an unthinkable proposition for most Americans: leaving. 

The earliest baseline comes from Gallup’s longitudinal tracking, which measured the desire to emigrate across successive presidencies. During the George W. Bush years, approximately 11 percent of Americans expressed a desire to relocate abroad. A figure that held relatively stable through the Obama presidency at around 10 percent.  

The first significant inflection arrived with the Trump presidency, when the figure rose to 16 percent in 2017 and continued climbing. The increase was not uniform across the population: young women aged 15 to 30 showed the most dramatic shift, rising from roughly 10 to 11 percent under Bush and Obama to 40 percent under Trump, a fourfold increase that signalled a generational break in how younger Americans, particularly women, related to the prospect of living abroad.  

Gallup’s data also revealed a stark polarization effect: among those who disapproved of Trump’s job performance, 22 percent expressed a desire to emigrate, compared to just 7 percent among those who approved. By November 2025, Gallup found that one in five Americans (20 percent) would like to permanently move to another country, with the figure among women aged 15 to 44 reaching 40 percent, up from just 10 percent in 2014. 

The 2024 election accelerated this trajectory from aspiration to planning. The Harris Poll, conducting a three-wave longitudinal survey of 6,358 U.S. adults across August 2024, November 2024, and February 2025, captured the sentiment shift in real time. By the final wave, 42 percent of Americans said they had considered or were planning to relocate outside the United States, a figure that would have been inconceivable a decade earlier. The generational gradient was steep: 63 percent of Gen Z, 52 percent of Millennials, 35 percent of Gen X, and 26 percent of Boomers.  

The motivations were layered and intersecting: 49 percent cited lower living expenses, 48 percent cited dissatisfaction with political leadership, and 43 percent cited higher quality of life. Most telling, 68 percent of respondents agreed that they were “merely surviving instead of thriving,” and 68 percent believed homeownership was no longer attainable for most Americans. These are not political grievances alone; they are structural economic anxieties that transcend party affiliation. The Harris data also revealed that 67 percent of LGBTQIA+ respondents, 58 percent of American women, and 57 percent of BIPOC Americans felt their rights were under threat, adding identity-based insecurity to the mix of economic and political drivers. 

The Greenback Expat Tax Services survey, conducted between February 19 and March 20, 2025, among 1,145 Americans including 719 current expatriates, provides the complementary perspective from those who have already acted on their intent. Among current expats, 49 percent said they plan to or are seriously considering renouncing their U.S. citizenship, up from 30 percent in the same survey conducted in 2024, a 63 percent increase in a single year. The motivations reported by those who had already relocated largely confirmed the Harris Poll’s findings among those still contemplating the move: cost of living and travel tied at 48 percent each, safety and quality of life at 46 percent, retirement and lifestyle upgrades at 37 percent, healthcare access at 34 percent, and the 2024 election outcome at 33 percent.  

When these surveys are read as a temporal sequence, Gallup’s 10–11 percent baseline under Bush and Obama, the jump to 16–20 percent under Trump, the Harris Poll’s 42 percent in early 2025, and the Greenback data showing nearly half of existing expats contemplating the irreversible step of renunciation the trajectory is unmistakable. At every point along the pipeline, from idle curiosity to active planning to the final severance of legal ties, the numbers are moving in the same direction: more Americans, across more demographics, are seeking to enhance their global mobility, whether by acquiring a second citizenship, securing residency through investment or ancestry, or relocating abroad through the expanding universe of immigration pathways now available to them. 

These trends echo what we observe directly at Global Citizen Solutions. Among Americans who approach us, the three motivations selected most often are lifestyle and quality of life, Plan B and backup planning, and political or economic stability, with tax and financial planning, travel freedom, and retirement planning following closely behind.

The narrowing of the gap between these stages, that is to say, between wanting to leave, planning to leave, and questioning whether to sever the legal bond entirely, is itself the most significant finding. What was once a fringe aspiration voiced by a small minority of politically disaffected Americans has become a mainstream consideration that cuts across generational, gender, racial, and increasingly socioeconomic lines. 

It is essential, however, to maintain analytical discipline about the distance between survey intent and actual migration. The history of post-election emigration sentiment is littered with spikes that dissipated: Canada’s immigration website crashed on election night 2016, yet the actual increase in American immigration to Canada was modest and short-lived. Desire, consideration, and action occupy different registers of commitment, and the conversion rate from one to the next has historically been low. What distinguishes the current moment from earlier cycles is threefold.  

  • First, the infrastructure of departure has expanded enormously: over 65  digital nomad visas, dozens of golden visa programs and citizenship programs and passive income visas, as well as an entire advisory industry now exist to convert intent into action in ways that were unavailable in 2016.  
  • Second, the motivations have broadened beyond political dissatisfaction to encompass structural economic grievances (cost of living, housing and education affordability, healthcare access, tax optimization and lifestyle) that are unlikely to be resolved by any single election outcome.  
  • Third, the demographic base has widened: this is no longer a conversation confined to wealthy investors or long-term expatriates but one that encompasses remote workers, retirees on fixed incomes, young professionals priced out of American homeownership, and families seeking different educational and healthcare systems for their children. 

3. Why Americans Are Seeking a Second Citizenship

person holding a USA passport

3.1 Tax and Compliance Burden 

The United States is one of only two countries in the world (alongside Eritrea) that taxes its citizens on worldwide income regardless of where they reside. An American living in Lisbon, earning entirely in euros from a Portuguese employer, must still file and potentially pay U.S. income taxes. The Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA), enacted in 2010 and fully implemented in 2014, compounded this burden by requiring foreign financial institutions to report accounts held by U.S. citizens to the Internal Revenue Service. 

The practical consequences of FATCA have been severe. Many foreign banks, unwilling to bear the compliance costs, have simply refused to open accounts for American clients. More than 60 percent of expatriates cite tax compliance as a primary reason for considering renunciation. For those who do renounce, the exit tax applies to “covered expatriates” (those with a net worth exceeding $2 million or an average annual tax liability exceeding $206,000 over the prior five years) imposing mark-to-market taxation on unrealized gains above $910,000 (the 2026 exclusion threshold). 

3.2 Political Dissatisfaction and Polarization 

As mentioned, political dissatisfaction has been a persistent undercurrent in American emigration sentiment for at least two decades, but the data shows a clear pattern of escalation with each successive electoral cycle. Gallup’s longitudinal tracking established the baseline: under Bush and Obama, the share of Americans expressing a desire to emigrate held at 10 to 11 percent. The first measurable inflection arrived with the Trump presidency, when the figure climbed to 16 percent and the polarization effect became quantifiable: 22 percent of those who disapproved of Trump’s performance expressed a desire to leave, versus just 7 percent among those who approved.  

By November 2025, one in five Americans told Gallup they would like to permanently move abroad, and among women aged 15 to 44 the figure had reached 40 percent, up from 10 percent in 2014, a fourfold increase in a decade. 

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The 2024 election did not create this dynamic; it accelerated it. Forty-eight percent of Harris Poll respondents cited dissatisfaction with political leadership as a reason for considering relocation, a figure that rose six points between the November 2024 and February 2025 waves alone. Among specific groups, the sense of precariousness is acute: 67 percent of LGBTQIA+ Americans, 58 percent of women, and 57 percent of BIPOC Americans reported feeling their rights are under threat. From the other side of the border, the Greenback survey confirmed the sentiment: 63 percent of existing expatriates said the election results confirmed their decision to remain abroad, and 60 percent believed America’s international reputation had declined. 

3.3 Economic and Lifestyle Factors 

Sixty-eight percent of Americans report feeling they are “merely surviving instead of thriving,” according to the 2025 Harris Poll. An identical percentage (68 percent) believe homeownership is no longer attainable for most Americans. These are not perceptions confined to any single generation; they reflect a broad erosion of confidence in the American economic compact. 

Cost of living, healthcare access, and quality of life rank consistently as top motivators for expatriation across every major survey. The Greenback 2025 survey found that 48 percent of respondents cited cost of living as a primary reason for moving abroad, followed by travel opportunities (48 percent), safety and quality of life (46 percent), retirement and lifestyle upgrades (37 percent), and healthcare access (34 percent). The 2024 election outcome ranked sixth at 33 percent, significant, but trailing bread-and-butter concerns. 

3.4 The Plan B and Insurance Policy Logic 

This is where the compensatory citizenship framework developed by sociologist Yossi Harpaz (Citizenship 2.0, Princeton University Press, 2019) becomes directly applicable to Americans. The pandemic demonstrated with brutal clarity how quickly borders can close and how dependent individual mobility is on nationality. Americans who held only a U.S. passport found themselves locked out of countries that admitted EU or other passport holders. 

The GCS November 2025 briefing identified 2024 as the year that political polarization and economic uncertainty converged to fuel a “Plan B” surge. For many Americans, the goal is not immediate relocation but strategic optionality: acquiring a residency or citizenship that can be activated if domestic conditions deteriorate further. This is precisely the insurance-policy logic that Harpaz documented among Israelis seeking European passports – now adopted by Americans applying the same calculus to their own situation. 

3.5 Investment and Diversification 

For high-net-worth Americans, second citizenship and residency programs offer a vehicle for portfolio diversification beyond national borders. According to a 2025 end-of-year report from Citizenship Bay, 47 percent of American Golden Visa applicants in Portugal are investors seeking to diversify into stable international markets. Portugal’s Golden Visa program alone has attracted €7.3 billion in foreign investment between 2014 and 2024 – a substantial portion of which originated from American applicants. 

3.6 Limitations 

While the findings are compelling, a few nuances are worth noting to strengthen the analysis further.  

In terms of proportionality, absolute numbers remain modest relative to the U.S. population of 340 million (even 5,000 annual renunciations represent just 0.0015% of citizens) so while the accelerating trend is unmistakably real, situating it against this baseline helps calibrate its scale. Renunciation statistics offer the most precise data available though, and serve as a valuable directional indicator, though they capture a specific subset of the diaspora (often long-term expatriates, accidental Americans, or high-net-worth individuals responding to FATCA-related compliance burdens) making them most powerful when read alongside complementary signals of broader emigration trends.  

The analysis could also be enriched by accounting for return migration, particularly Americans who relocate abroad and return within five years; although comprehensive data on return rates is not currently available. 

Finally, the interplay between cyclical and structural drivers offers a productive avenue for deepening the argument: economic pressures such as housing, healthcare, and cost of living are likely to persist regardless of political conditions, and disentangling these enduring forces from election-driven urgency would further reinforce the case for long-term durability. 

4. When Did This Movement Start? A Chronological Narrative

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Pre-2009: The Baseline 

Fewer than 400 Americans renounced citizenship annually. Dual citizenship was widely tolerated but rarely discussed in public discourse. The United States was overwhelmingly a destination country, and the concept of an American emigrant was culturally marginal. 

2008–2010: The Financial Crisis and FATCA 

The global financial crisis, combined with the UBS tax scandal and the enactment of FATCA in 2010, created the first sustained upward pressure on renunciations. The number jumped from fewer than 400 to over 1,000 annually. Americans abroad began to feel the compliance burden that would define the next decade. 

2014: The FATCA Reckoning 

FATCA’s full implementation in 2014, combined with a quintupling of the renunciation fee to $2,350, marked a turning point. Annual renunciations reached approximately 4,800 — a tenfold increase from just five years earlier. Foreign banks began systematically refusing American clients, making daily life abroad measurably harder for U.S. citizens. 

2016–2017: Political Tremors 

Legal scholar Peter Spiro published At Home in Two Countries (NYU Press, 2016), providing scholarly legitimacy to the dual citizenship conversation. The first Trump presidency triggered initial “what if” conversations about emigration among Americans, but actual relocation and renunciation numbers remained relatively steady. The impulse was planted but not yet activated. 

2019: The Harpaz Framework and Pre-Pandemic Baselines 

Sociologist Yossi Harpaz published Citizenship 2.0 (Princeton University Press, 2019), giving the academic world a framework for understanding citizenship as a strategic asset. In practical terms, Americans applying for Mexican residency visas ran at approximately 17,800 per year — a number that would look modest within three years. 

2020: The Pandemic Inflection 

The year 2020 produced a record 6,705 renunciations. Borders closed worldwide. Americans confronted the fragility of relying on a single passport for the first time. The remote work explosion, meanwhile, opened the door to a fundamentally new possibility: living anywhere while remaining employed. This combination — the shock of immobility and the promise of untethered work — catalyzed a shift that had been building for a decade. 

2020–2023: Post-Pandemic Acceleration 

American applications for Mexican residency surged from 17,800 in 2019 to over 30,000 in 2022 — a 69.9 percent increase. Digital nomad culture took root in Mexico City, Lisbon, and beyond. Rents in Mexico City’s Condesa neighborhood jumped 60 percent between 2020 and 2023 as American arrivals reshaped local housing markets. 

2024: The Year of Elections 

Renunciations reached 4,820, a 48 percent increase over 2023. Italy processed 30,000 ancestry citizenship applications. American registrations in Portugal reached 20,959 – almost a 50 percent increase from 2023. The convergence of political events worldwide – not just in the U.S., but across multiple democracies, validated the Plan B concept as a rational strategy rather than an overreaction. 

2025: The Plan B Passport Boom 

Global Citizen Solutions saw a threefold increase in US nationals among its clients. The Greenback survey showed 49 percent of expats considering renunciation. The Harris Poll confirmed 42 percent of all Americans had considered relocation. Italy passed Law 74/2025, restricting ancestry citizenship. GCS published its citizenship transformation briefing, identifying adaptive citizenship as the emerging paradigm. 

2026: The Current Landscape 

As of April 2026, the renunciation fee has dropped to $450, removing a significant financial barrier. Portugal’s nationality law remains under revision, with a proposed increase from five to ten years for citizenship through residency still under parliamentary deliberation following a presidential veto. Italy’s Constitutional Court upheld the ancestry restrictions of Law 74/2025 in March 2026. Bloomberg has characterized the broader trend as “The Great Continental Drift.” 

5. Destination Analysis: Europe and Latin America

Europe 

Destination countries vary widely, but before exploring them individually it is worth mentioning where U.S. residents are already formally settled across Europe. As of 31 December 2023, the top countries holding residence permits issued to U.S. nationals across EU/EFTA were Germany (81,509), Spain (44,804), France (38,181), Italy (36,549), the Netherlands (33,107), Switzerland (19,579), and Portugal (13,948), according to data compiled by Spain’s Permanent Immigration Observatory (OPI). The vast majority of permits are intended for one year or more, suggesting long-term relocation rather than short stays. The country list below explores some of the destinations and adds other options to the list.  

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Germany 

Germany hosts more U.S. nationals on residence permits than any other EU or EFTA country, with 81,509 as of 2023. For Americans with German roots, a citizenship by descent pathway has long existed, operating not as a new application but as a confirmation of citizenship already held by bloodline, with no residency or language requirement. By 2022, approximately 41 million Americans claimed German ancestry, the largest self-reported ancestry group in the United States (Library of Congress, 2022). The June 2024 Modernization of the Citizenship Law (StARModG) added further interest, formally permitting dual citizenship for the first time and cutting the residency requirement for naturalization from eight to five years. 

Spain 

View of Malaga harbour, Spain

Spain holds the second-largest population of American permit holders in the EU, with 44,804 as of December 2023 and over 50,600 registered residents by January 2024 – a 26 percent increase in two years. Following the closure of its Golden Visa program in April 2025, Spain has effectively shifted away from real estate-linked investment migration, aligning with broader European efforts to address housing affordability concerns. In this new landscape, the non-lucrative (passive income) visa has become the primary alternative for third-country nationals seeking residency which is particularly attractive to retirees, remote earners, and high-net-worth individuals with stable income streams. 

Italy 

Until March 2025, Italy’s ancestry citizenship route (jure sanguinis) was extraordinarily popular among Americans. Recognitions nearly tripled between 2021 and 2024, with 30,000 applications processed in 2024 alone. The number of Italian citizens residing abroad grew 40 percent over the preceding decade to 6.4 million. However, Law 74/2025 – the so-called Tajani Decree – restricted eligibility to children and grandchildren of Italian citizens, blocking an estimated 80 million people worldwide who had previously qualified through earlier generations. Italy’s Constitutional Court upheld the law in March 2026. A two-year residency route remains available for anyone with Italian descent, with no generational limit. 

Portugal 

nazare-portugal

Portugal has emerged as the flagship European destination for American expatriates and investors. Ninety-six percent of American Golden Visa applicants choose the €500,000 investment fund route, reflecting a preference for financial diversification over direct real estate ownership. In 2024, 20,959 Americans registered in Portugal – nearly a 50 percent increase from 2023. Americans were the top investing nationality in 2025. The Golden Visa program has attracted €7.3 billion in total foreign investment since 2014. 

The citizenship pathway currently requires five years of legal residency, though a parliamentary proposal to extend this to ten years remains under deliberation after a presidential veto. Thirty-seven percent of American Golden Visa applicants are retirees or lifestyle seekers, while 47 percent are investors pursuing market diversification – a split that illustrates the dual relocation/Plan B dynamic. 

Greece 

Greece hosts a small but fast-growing American community. As of December 2023, 13,948 U.S. nationals held valid residence permits, with the American cohort reaching 353 Golden Visa permits and cumulative approvals climbing to 578 by December 2025, up 49 percent year-on-year. The main investment pathway starts at €250,000 in designated areas, rising to €800,000 in high-demand zones such as Athens and the popular islands. For non-investors, a Digital Nomad Visa and a Financial Independence Visa provide alternative routes, though neither leads directly to citizenship. Naturalization requires seven years of legal residence and a language requirement. 

Hungary 

view of Budapest and the Danube river in Hungary

Hungary re-entered the investment migration market in 2024 with the launch of its renewed Guest Investor Program, signaling a strategic effort to attract foreign capital while avoiding the controversies associated with its previous bond-based scheme (terminated in 2017). The new framework focuses on regulated investment routes, such as real estate funds or donations, rather than direct property purchases, aligning more closely with evolving EU expectations around transparency and economic contribution. With relatively low investment thresholds compared to Western Europe and a fast-track residency process, Hungary positions itself as a cost-effective entry point into the Schengen Area. However, the program does not currently offer a clear or accelerated pathway to citizenship, and Hungary’s broader political and regulatory environment may influence investor perception, particularly among Western applicants. As a result, it is likely to appeal more to investors prioritizing mobility and cost efficiency over long-term settlement or EU citizenship objectives. 

Latin America 

Mexico 

san-miguel-allende-mexico-long

Mexico hosts the largest single-country population of American expatriates – an estimated 1.6 million people. Residency visa applications surged from approximately 17,800 in 2019 to over 30,000 in 2022, and twice as many Americans migrated to Mexico in the first four months of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023. Mexico’s appeal is driven by proximity, affordability, cultural richness, and an increasingly robust digital nomad infrastructure. 

Other Latin American Destinations 

Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Uruguay, Paraguay, Brazil, and Argentina all host growing American communities. The drivers are consistent: lower costs, favorable climate, lifestyle quality, and increasingly digital nomad visa programs designed to attract remote workers and their spending power. 

6. The 2026 Landscape

As of April 2026, the American diaspora movement shows every sign of continued acceleration. Several developments define the current landscape. 

Policy shifts are lowering barriers to departure – most notably the restoration of the U.S. renunciation fee to its pre-2015 level. While legislative proposals targeting dual citizenship have produced the opposite of their intended effect, accelerating applications rather than containing them. Concurrently, destination countries are tightening or recalibrating their programs in direct response to sustained inflows of American applicants, a dynamic that itself signals the scale of demand. Crucially, the gap between intent and action continues to narrow – growing application pipelines and rising expatriation indicators suggest that what surveys have measured as aspiration is increasingly converting into concrete steps. What emerges from this convergence is a system that has become structurally self-reinforcing.  

7. Methodological Notes

The findings in this report are built on the triangulation of three independent data streams, deliberately structured to separate cyclical noise from structural drift.

The first stream is longitudinal survey data, read chronologically rather than in isolation. Core sources include Gallup’s tracking of U.S. emigration sentiment from 2014 to November 2025, the Harris Poll’s three-wave survey of 6,358 Americans across August 2024, November 2024, and February 2025, and Greenback Expat Tax Services’ 2025 survey of 1,145 Americans, including 719 current expatriates. Read as a temporal sequence, these surveys reveal a sustained, demographically broad rise that cannot be attributed to any single electoral event.

The second stream is hard administrative data: U.S. Federal Register renunciation publications, EU/EFTA residence permit data from Spain’s Permanent Immigration Observatory, and country-level Golden Visa and ancestry citizenship application figures. This stream functions as the empirical counterweight to survey intent. Renunciations have grown more than tenfold in fifteen years, and the global queue for renunciation appointments now exceeds 30,000 people. These are completed administrative acts, not expressions of consideration.

The third stream is Global Citizen Solutions’ own client and inquiry data across Q1 of 2026, which captures the inflection where individuals move from consideration to action before it appears in official records. American inquiries tripled year-on-year, and the motivations our clients cite mirror the public surveys: lifestyle and quality of life, Plan B and backup planning, and political or economic stability lead, with tax and financial planning, travel freedom, and retirement planning close behind.

The analytical standard applied throughout is convergence. No single stream is treated as sufficient: surveys carry recency bias, administrative data lags by twelve to eighteen months, and proprietary client data reflects a self-selected population. Read together, however, they form a coherent picture. When three independent sources move in the same direction at the same scale, the resulting trajectory is no longer attributable to mood, media cycles, or political reaction. It is structural.

Conclusion: The Evolution, Not the Crisis

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The American diaspora is not a crisis. It is an evolution. One traced through an accelerating body of empirical data. 

Global Citizen Solutions’ adaptive citizenship concept describes where this evolution is heading: toward a world in which nationality is neither fixed nor singular, but a customizable tool for navigating uncertainty. 

The data confirms what the theory predicts. Forty-two percent of Americans have considered relocation. Nearly half of expatriates are considering renunciation. Renunciation numbers have increased more than tenfold in fifteen years. The industry is booming: American inquiries at leading advisory firms have surged by triple digits. And this is occurring across the political spectrum, across income levels, and across generations. 

For the first time, Americans are behaving like global citizens in the truest sense of the term by applying the same strategic logic to their nationality that citizens of every other region have long practiced. They are discovering that in a world of uncertainty, a second passport and multiple residency rights are not a betrayal of identity. It is a rational response to the conditions of modern life. 

The question is no longer whether Americans will continue seeking second citizenships and residencies in growing numbers. The question is how both the United States and destination countries will respond to a world in which one of the most powerful passports on earth is no longer, for many of its holders, enough to grant stability and mobility.  

The trajectory from here is not one of retreat but of refinement. As migration policies adapt, investment programs mature, and the mobility landscape evolves, the architecture of global citizenship will continue to expand to meet a demand that is now structural rather than cyclical. The Americans seeking it today are not an anomaly, they are the leading edge of how citizenship will be held, exercised, and inherited for the generations that follow.

Sources and References 

  1. AARO (Association of Americans Resident Overseas). “How Many Americans Live Abroad?” Updated October 2024. 
  1. Boundless. “The Rise in U.S. Citizenship Renunciations: What’s Driving It?” Research Report, January 2026. 
  1. Citizenship Bay. “Americans’ Appetite for Portugal Golden Visa Soars 60% in 2025.” GlobeNewswire, January 6, 2026. 
  1. CS Global Partners. Q1 2025 expatriation data analysis, based on Federal Register publications. 
  1. Edelberg, W., Veuger, S., & Watson, T. (2026, January 13). Macroeconomic implications of immigration flows in 2025 and 2026: January 2026 update. Brookings Institution. 
  1. Federal Voting Assistance Program (FVAP). Estimated 4.4 million U.S. citizens abroad, 2022. 
  1. Gallup. Longitudinal tracking on U.S. emigration sentiment, 2014–November 2025. 
  1. Global Citizen Solutions. “The Transformation of Citizenship: From Political Identity to Strategic Mobility Tool.” Intelligence Briefing, November 12, 2025. 
  1. Global Citizen Solutions. “Top Four Trends Redefining Global Mobility in 2026.” January 13, 2026. 
  1. Greenback Expat Tax Services. “2025 Expat Trends Survey.” n=1,145 (incl. 719 expats). Data collected Feb 19–Mar 20, 2025. 
  1. Harpaz, Yossi. Citizenship 2.0: Dual Nationality as a Global Asset. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2019. Princeton Studies in Global and Comparative Sociology, Book 6. ISBN: 978-0-691-19406-6. 
  1. The Harris Poll. “The Rise of the American Expat Dream.” Three-wave survey (Aug 2024, Nov 2024, Feb 2025), n=6,358. Published March 4, 2025. 
  1. Klekowski von Koppenfels, Amanda. Migrants or Expatriates? Americans in Europe. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, 2014. 
  1. Library of Congress. “Chronology: Germans in America.” 
  1. Migration Policy Institute. Data on the U.S. statistical program tracking permanent departures (discontinued 1957). 
  1. Permanent Immigration Observatory (OPI), Spain. Residence permits issued to U.S. nationals across EU/EFTA, as of 31 December 2023. 
  1. Pew Research Center. (2025). U.S. emigration and citizen departure data. 
  1. Spiro, Peter J. At Home in Two Countries: The Past and Future of Dual Citizenship. New York: NYU Press, 2016. Citizenship and Migration in the Americas, No. 11. ISBN: 978-0-8147-8582-9. 
  1. Spiro, Peter J. CNN, January 2026. 
  1. U.S. Department of State. Bilateral relations fact sheet — Mexico. 
  1. U.S. Department of State. Final Rule — Renunciation Fee Reduction ($2,350 to $450). Federal Register, March 13, 2026. Effective April 13, 2026. 
  1. U.S. Federal Register. Quarterly Publication of Individuals Who Have Chosen to Expatriate (various quarters, 2009–2025). 
  1. YouGov. “Only One-Third of Americans Support Eliminating Dual Citizenship.” Poll of 1,147 U.S. adults, December 2–4, 2025. 
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